Category Archives: selected charts

China: new bull market underway?

If it wasn’t for the quantification of waves by OEW this volatile index would look more like a commodity index than a stock index. When reviewing the entire history of the SSEC we see a series of volatile up moves … Continue reading

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Crude and the Commodity cycle

Over the years we have written many times about the 34-year commodity cycle. Generally commodities rise as a group in a 13-year bull market, which is followed by a 21-year bear market. Each specific commodity has its own particular cycle which … Continue reading

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Gold – bull market or just a bear market rally

While many are touting a new bull market in Gold, and Silver for that matter, history suggests otherwise. When we look back at the history of commodity prices for the past two centuries we observe generally short bull markets followed … Continue reading

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quick update: emerging markets

With the recent resurgence in the US indices, and the potential new leg up in the 2009 bull market, took a look at the foreign indices we track. The objective was to find indices that had dramatic selloffs during 2015-2016, and … Continue reading

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quick update: Nikkei and Yen

On Friday the Yen hit our long term target of par (100). A declining C wave should begin shortly to resume its bear market. While the Yen was rallying for one year, the Nikkei was also declining in what looks like a seven … Continue reading

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The historical DOW

Some are concerned that the stock market is overvalued, and the bull market may end soon with a resounding crash. They have some valid points. US GDP, to date, has underperformed most modern recoveries. Corporate revenues have been soft lately due to … Continue reading

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Gold update 2015

After Gold and Silver topped in 2011 many have been looking for a sustainable rally to trade, or exit long term positions. Yet the decline in the precious metals has been generally steady except for a few quick rallies here and there. … Continue reading

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