SHORT TERM: stocks rally as Bernanke/Bush speeches fuel the market, DOW +120
Stocks gapped up at the opening as word was leaked that the President was coming to the rescue of homeowners caught in the subprime credit crunch. By 10:00 the SPX had rallied to 1477 when Bernanke’s speech was released. A pullback to about 1465 followed, and then another pullback to 1465 followed Bush’s speech. Having held support, (1462 is the pivot), the market rallied higher hitting 1481 just before the close. At the close the SPX/DOW gained 1.0%, and the NDX/NAZ added 1.25%. Bonds lost about 1/4 point, Crude was up 60 cents, Gold gained $7.50, and the Euro was flat. The SPX closed at 1474, and now has support at 1462 and then 1438. Resistance remains at 1484 and then 1506. Short term momentum is displaying a negative RSI divergence. Which usually indicates a pullback of some degree is next. Enjoy your holiday weekend!
MEDIUM TERM: correction
LONG TERM: bullish.
Ciao Mario,
Elliott Wave works sometimes? To some indeed.
Yes, still looking for the other shoe to drop too.
cheers!
tony
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Hi Tony,
I follow your blog for a while now. I\’m not a real Elliottician. But some times Elliott principles work.
I believe that we will see another retest of the august lows. This up move from august is correctivebecause there is a clear ABC pattern unfolding right now. You are right about the leading Techs, before reversing to retest the August lows, NDX wil reach 2004, SPX 1485/1515 and TRAN 4986/5104. How low we go is uncertain, because every one has fear but is also gready, total chaos. I think we are in the last coming up week before reverse.
Ciao Mario
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