SHORT TERM: no gap opening but big rally, DOW +175
Overnight the Asian markets lost 0.1%. Europe opened higher and gained 1.3%. US index futures were higher overnight, and at 8:30 Durable goods orders were reported lower: -5.2% vs +4.3%. The market opened 1 point below yesterday’s SPX 1497 close, dipped to 1495, and then started to rally. At 10:00 FED chairman Bernanke presented his report to Congress, and Pending home sales were reported higher: +4.5% vs -4.3%. The rally continued into the afternoon with just two pullbacks of 4 and 3 points. At 3:30 the SPX hit 1520, then pulled back to close at 1516.
For the day the SPX/DOW were +1.25%, and the NDX/NAZ were +1.05%. Bonds lost 2 ticks, Crude added 20 cents, Gold dropped $16, and the USD was lower. Medium term support jumps to the 1499 and 1440 pivots, with resistance at the 1523 and 1552 pivots. Tomorrow: Q4 GDP (est. +0.5%), and weekly Jobless claims at 8:30. Then at 9:45 the Chicago PMI, and a speech from FED governor Raskin at 12:30.
The market opened slightly lower today then had its best rally since early January. After the short term trend turned positive yesterday at SPX 1495, the market has continued to rally without even one 5 point pullback. In fact, from the SPX 1485 low the market has rallied 35 points without a 5 point pullback. Quite a powerful surge. Minor wave 4 looks to have bottomed at that low and Minor wave 5 has been underway. Our weekend targets of the 1552 and 1576 pivots remain. But, with Q4 GDP tomorrow and the DOW already at new highs, it may be an uptrend negative if the SPX drops to 1500 again.
Short term support now jumps to the 1499 pivot and SPX 1471/75, with resistance at the 1523 and 1552 pivots. Short term momentum has risen from a positive divergence to extremely overbought today. The short term OEW charts turned positive in the morning with the reversal level now around SPX 1509. Best to your trading!
MEDIUM TERM: uptrend
LONG TERM: bull market
You all smashed the comments record by at least 60 posts
Yooo-hoooo!
and thats all I got to say about that
Famous last words (from the man who made 171 posts on one thread)
the man can’t help if he thinks and types fast! try entering orders in the pit – you’ll build some mad typing speed. peace out team Caldaro. enjoy your thursday eve! -rc
hahaha 44
I think thats how many handles the market rallied from Tuesdays low .
Measured from what might be considered wave 2 low @ ESH 1490
1511.50 = .382 back from todays high
Thanks Paducah !
In the Majors all u need to do is hit 3 out of every 10 and ur a star.
I think I had at least 10 decent posts today
r u on roids
Every post is a good ‘un from you Lee! Keep ‘em coming. I take it you’re long from the .382 at 1511.50? I think we’re going lower, but I’ve been wrong before! -:)
Hey Tony
Yes !
No I’m not long Puducah.
“when u started a short position at SPX 1000 …1560 just seems right . It would be so embarrassing to get stopped out at a new all time high ”
bwahahaha nice one Lee. oh man, i got a chortle outta that. redefines pain trade
on another note – 1523 pitvot tagged and faded. tomorrow might be an important day. good thing we don’t have silly gov’t budget headlines to deal with
Pivot pool baby ! Thx RC
http://caldaro.wordpress.com/2013/02/05/tuesday-update-372/
Surfer Boyee, “choppy markets like these separates the men from the boys.”
Surfer Boyee, “not liking the market which is not giving any clear signals on which way it wants to go”
????
Bambino!
Tony reminded me yesterday about the new money that comes in at the end and beginning of each month. Even as tomorrow is the 1st, more so, I think perhaps next Monday also. M
Not always strong day last day of month ,wonder if we have 50% retracement of the rally from 1485,back into that 1499 pivot,1505-1508,charts say yes ,market may say different
pooch, tomorrow is the 1st day of the month and Monday begins the 1st week of the new month. M
Okay, I’m guessing if this isn’t wave 3, then wave 2 is a double zigzag? M
gee wheez,whats wrong with the ole dog?? Should be a gapper down the way we closed and i would imagine a test of 1500
Tony,
Do we have 5 waves from 1485 ?
negative divergence at the highs
This is Tonys blog be nice This is Tonys blog be nice..
+1
RC Im telling myself to be nice.
U work in a trading room u know how it goes..I miss being able to look em in the eyes
the truth
1/2 back here pit.. @1519 ESH with a neg div at todays high on my mid term Volume chart
Tony has mentioned if its a 3 rd wave up he doesn’t give – Div too much attn but does on 5 th waves he does
Bots got a new bag lately.. the 6.50- 7.00 handle pull back
I wonder if Robert Pechter is still bearish ?
He is M
1560 ish stp
Bearish as ever M1.
Why would he set a stop as high as 1560? Covering his, I guess. M
when u started a short position at SPX 1000 …1560 just seems right . It would be so embarrassing to get stopped out at a new all time high in nominal terms of course the DJIA priced in Gold is at 2
uh boy.
The sad thing is that the people who could have really used the money (retirees, families, WCJoe’s) had the last 4 years to make some righteous bucks, and when they figure this out in the middle of the soon-to-be bear mkt., I hope they’re as mad at themselves as they are Prechter. M
M
I hear that !
Tony has been a blessing
Its 4 years into this liquidity bull market and I’m still confused 1/2 the time
Retirees are the ones who got absolutely robbed with what happened to fixed income and if they also followed Bobby (I call him that) yikes.
Hi everybody, just a quick note that I am back from a 2 week hiatus (1 week for work, then 1 week for vaca), and have only followed the market and Tony’s updates from the side line, while going long on tuesday at the open. I am sure nobody missed me, lol, but that draw down to 1485 must have sure hurt many bulls and this move up is sure hurting many bears. Ergeo conclusio: nothing has changed. Market as usual!
Just letting us u bought the low ? Cheers !
We all bought the low, didn’t we? Just like I just sold the high a few minutes ago, unless we go higher, in which case I am still long from the lows. Why? Who cares … its a helicopter!
CN
I’m learning to just ignore …learning
lol, interpret it any way you want.
Just stating the facts.
Called “hanging out at the gap for a while”. Be home late, Mom. M
ominous post count ?
Hey Bud
RE: USO via CL
my S2 today is @ 91.59
S3 = 90.40
I would think the $100 or bust crowd just went bust.
Should get interesting as it’s not oversold on my 4hr chart so hence a pos div here ?
Thank goodness for CL
i wonder what the ratio of human:machine trading volume is these days. i thought i saw something like 85% but that was a couple years ago. can’t imagine it’s lower now
that was 85% machine, to be clear
#200..Boom! Thanks M!
UR Welcome, now, GO ON VACATION! M
Sold!
Go figure M
Who knew?!
Is anyone else shorting the DAX here? Looks like an attractive shorting target to me, with negative RSI divergences on daily and weekly charts, and close proximity to a resistance level on weekly MACD.
alex, wish I were sophisticated enough to do it, but alas, I am not. Will have to mark this as a “to be learned”. M
Have a great vacation I3
Catch u guys ltr..
Thanks Lee!, will be back for #200!
Bye I3. Have a great time! M
SPX W1 impulse near 5 up (30 day 1 min chart)
http://wavegenius.co/blog/2013/2/28/spx-30-day-1-minute-chart-near-w1-w5
watch out for the 10pt bots today folks. hiding right around the corner
my man RC
ding ding
I will see your bots and raise you 1000 quatloos on the newcomer. M
Hi all,
I’m new here. Hope everyone is riding this rally. Hoping to chat with you all. What do you all think? Can we break the 1530 for a real wave 5?
Im in small… I see 5 waves up, wave 1 of V, looking for 2 down near or at the all time high in the DOW…
I’m wondering if we’ve gotten 2 of v late yesterday and this morning and now starting 3 of v. Will have to wait for Tony’s comments on this. M
think so too M
Oh Tony, you mean I could possibly be right about something?! I mean this in the best of ways, because I’m in the 1st grade of wave counters. It just looks so plain; right at 11amCT, almost straight up. You’ve made my week, thank you! Melinda
Well, enjoyed the glow for an hour or so. So this is possibly wave 2 double zigzag? M
Funky gap – chart missage or is that real and needs to be closed???
That 1523 PP means business. wow. M
M,you were worried about sequestration probably hit highs of the year tomorrow
I don’t know pooch, everyone seems to not be bothered by sequestration or GDP this morning. Darnest thing I ever saw. I think that lack of concern is the biggest danger. M
If all this upside from Tuesday forward is wave 1 of v, can you imagine what wave 3 of v will be like? I don’t think this is still wave 1, but I’m not the wave counters that you guys are. M
pb, I’m seeing the gap also and don’t like it. Whether it gets closed now or a little later, it bugs me. M
Yo pb, looks like it might be trying to close that gap. M
GAP CLOSED! M
Okay, maybe not quite, but can’t be much more now than 0.50 pts or so, gee, picky, picky bots. M
Tony, I’d feel a whole lot better about the Dow’s progress if the spoos was keeping pace. But right now, it would seem we may be on track for another spoos 5th wave failure. What say you?
stop currently 1500
Where’s torehund when we need a psychologist? LOL! Everybody has gotten so used to big moves over the past few days that grind higher could be bringing on worries of a failure. Not saying the concern is unjustified, just that we might have become impatient and spoiled. M
Hi CygnetNoir
What are spoos
SP-500 futures
Just Like I said
Lee, you were calling for vol in the first two weeks of March – by my clock you’re still in the money so far.
ya dude! nice call. GL all, Not much to say about it. Tony has it covered.
R C, H D
Just having fun with these guys.. I could power a light bulb with the thinking power here
hope you don’t need more than about 10 candlepower from that bulb…
just as long is it aint one of those crappy cfl bulbs. but “10″ candle power looks familiar RC
There ya go…up up and away to 1530 test….
5 waves up after the 3 day low
http://wavegenius.co/blog/2013/2/28/elliott-wave-noon-update-video-22813-near-5-up-from-the-intraday-low
Hi all,
can anybody give me a link for a real time SPX .
thnx
I like this chart, not mine…
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$SPX&p=5&yr=0&mn=0&dy=3&id=p23140841050&a=240283679&r=1361480905363&cmd=print
thnx..any auto update one u hav
http://www.investing.com/quotes/streaming-forex-rates-%e2%80%93-majors
thnx again tony..
Ur count based on SPX fut or spot prices
cash!
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/would-new-dow-record-set-a-bear-market-trap-2013-02-28
=)
What ‘statement’ on budget do people expect?
feel pretty certain that sequestration will happen tomorrow. the bigger question is does the mkt care. hasn’t cared about slowing economic growth yet the last few months so not sure what makes it start now. check out copper the last few weeks.
RC – you might be using – a bit to much logic.
It’s the magic of the Fed, right?
‘magic’ is one way to put it. hah don’t worry, i don’t apply logic to market actions, but merely with economic trends and financial fundamentals. the linkage between those things can get pretty disconnected, especially in timing.
some trainwrecks you can indeed see coming in slow motion. and when the ‘efficient’ market starts to finally react it’s always entertaining to see the CNBC dingbats running around like headless chickens, declaring “who could have known [ ]?!”
buy low, sell high. we’re not low. that’s all i can say
Hi all, haven’t been commenting but have lurked from time to time as I’ve had a free moment. You may remember that I moved to Iowa (still keeping my Houston residence) when my brother unexpectedly passed away in 2009 to help restructure our family farm operations for my mother. I’ve been running the farm since that time. Recently, my 84 year old mother also unexpectedly passed from a sudden unexpected heart attack. She was in the best health she had been in for years so it was a bit of a shock
I am placing the farmland in an LLC owned by myself and my litle sister (she’s 20 years younger than I am & working at the American Embassy in Oman). I’ll continue managing the farm. I’ve transferred residency to Iowa and we will be moving our household to the farm sometime this year. I am still getting used to the idea that I am sitting where my farmer brother was suppose to be. If you had asked me five years ago, “where will you be in five years”, I never would have predicted farming in Iowa. I am very happy that I was able to support my mother in her last years and hope I prove to be the good stewart of our family’s farm legacy. Someday perhaps I can get back to trading but for the time being, I am just an occasional opportunist and enjoy reading Tony’s blod and all of your adventures. It helps me keep an impartial eye on the price action in the corn and soybean markets!
Hi Mckennedy
i can feel that…i came to canada and dont know why and how it happened..
best of luck for farming and trading..
mckennedy, I am sorry to hear about what had happened to your family in the recent past. I wish you well and welcome back..
Hey MCK
So sorry to hear the news about ut Mother.
Steve
Looks like no market movement until we get statement on budget mess
Huh? The Budget ‘mess’ is due on March 27. M
Red Alert!!!
https://securecdn.disqus.com/uploads/mediaembed/images/443/2925/original.jpg
Hi tony
if this is correct then spending cuts are bluff..
is gdp data out
Manunidhi,
The president also has to sign off on the budget.
So it is not as simple as that video presents.
Yes Tony,
S&P is confused to cross 1523 and 1509..which side u bet
market has already bet
President signed off on Budget or Sequester? Budget deadline I thought was March 27. After reading this, I must be mistaken somehow. I know there was a Continuing Resolution on Sequester moving thru Senate & House, giving BO more room to move funds around. Supposed to be voted on today. Nobody thinks it will pass. Don’t know why they say that, but is what I heard as I was walking out the door. M
GDP revision was ridiculous, +0.1, when +0.5 expected. Evidently, traders do not care and are ignoring any and all bad data. M
CR and sequester are two totally different things. Our CR (read: the budget) is good through March 27. If we don’t have a new budget or another CR, then the gov’t shuts down. This is separate from the sequester, which will go into effect tomorrow. Today’s two bills in the Senate are purely posturing; they want to say, “see, why *tried* to stop it, it’s HIS fault!” There are not enough votes for either bill to pass.
It is thought that in the coming weeks there might be a combination budget/bill presented by the GOP that would incorporate the $ amt of the sequester cuts into a real budget, thereby allowing each agencies to take a more deliberate approach to the cuts but leaving the total $ value of cuts unchanged from what the sequester has.
there is no new CR or budget currently being discussed or on the floor in either house
Guys trading is serious biz and I’m in a silly mood
Bulls I hope u make a killing Bears I hope U make a killing.
Ltr !
I’m in a silly mood as well, but on a serious note … watch out for those cops, trying to hunt my stops …
Anyone here use TOS and monkeye bars?
What is that little blue box on first line – anyone?
Thanks
theres ur ABC down 1552 by noon
Ok I’m hedged now Pooch
Europe’s closed – nothing to hold us back now!
If the Pope dropped paper pardons from his chopper would Catholicism grow in real or just nominal terms?
R C
Haaaa
Wait were downticking so todays move was an X wave that H D called
1470 next
RC … is it still growing?
Pope leaves, no new pope yet, who is running the show?
Must be congress, eh, the “Vatican”
Lee- Or triangulating in a ii
Very nice rc – the Pope abides right?
quite possible pbnj.
Hey lee, yesterday suckd! Took the afternoon to go fill my javelina tag instead of watching the tape. Dropped 1 from 485, just a long par 4. So what’s this today? backtest 1514?
Hey H D
Javelinas are scary looking beasts ! Nice shot !
Lee,Lee never ever tease market cause it will slap back hard.
Thanks pooch
20/20
I see u back on 1550 bandwagon
hahaha Have a good one Pooch !
You to Lee.
Tony – do ii’s have to retrace or can they be sideways consolidations only to resume higher in iii’s
Thank you
Cheers
My question as well, pb. Thanks!
PB, so far only a 6 pt retracement.
Should be more … yes to your question
I see a small pullback to 1504-1505 as healthy – ii of 5?
As a bullish BEAR id say that looks too good to be true…
Id like to see 1250… Maybe that will help ya Ha!!!
Infliction point? Next week will tell.
I think Ben just started the copters….
sdsteve
That wasn’t Ben’s helicopter it was the Popes
sdsteve
Ever eat @ Henry’s Hot Dogs or Scatchell’s back when u worked in Cicero ?
Lee that was 25 years ago, I can’t hardly remember… Mostly we would eat off Phils Roach Coach… Sometimes a liquid lunch at the bar on 16th street, cant remember the name of that place either…
Thanks sdsteve
I know guys from Cicero who can’t remember last week so I understand.
Thanks !
1523* till it ain’t
A close above would be very constructive indeed
hey pbnj
I agree and if we dont do it soon it will be destuctive IMO
Agreed
dude
Bond. Long Bond. The 30 year trened down while stocks trended up from the November turning point. Stocks sold off hard and bonds rallied hard last week into this week. Now, stocks seem well on their way to shaking off the jitters, but the bond players are holding their newly long position.
What is up wit dat?!
i think it means exactly what you think it means
Short, spy 151p,lets test 1506
Tony – thanks for the CAF chart – Both CAF, and VNM are working out
very nicely – hope you bought, as well……
cheers Bud on the China sidelines now
Thanks, for the reply Tony – Guess that makes me the Bull, then
I can see 2500-2550 as resistance, and 3,000 level as well. But,
my time there suggest, we go much higher…The new leader, Xi.
Is a fairly dynamic person, and the Buy vol. is impressive…best to you,
stay warm…
And in other news, after a 4 point drop low to high on the SP-500, CNBC is reporting that the market has now entered “Bear Market Territory,” as any drop of 4 points or greater is the preferred demarcation line between acceptable upward progress and the terrifying fiscal abyss below according to the latest Fed Minutes (see Fed release 20130226qwerty765, page 8987, foot note 9765423.
Hi Tony
Market has gotten us pretty close to 1531 again….What is the chance that we get caught in the tractor beam of 1523 Pivot and get a failed 5th wave here?
Thanks, Charlie
Hi Charlie,
Certainly a possibility
1507 is a .382 retrace of this move – Would a move greater then this issue a red flag?
Looks like most here have the markets figured out.
I’d say use stops but thats so 20 th century
Continued success !
Anybody have a ZC or ZW count that sezs where going 30% higher soon ? THX
It’s not the economy…stupid
ESH guys caught a lil short from the open.
Rollover commeth
Ok guys have fun
Hey Lee, I have nothing figured out … as I’ve said before, “I’m not a trader, but I play one on the internet.”
Hey C N
I’m actually a pro BASS fisherman who’s never traded a contract or share of stock/futures/etf in my life…It’s all about the sponsors
I hear ya !
CygnetNoir says:
February 28, 2013 at 9:05 am
Hey Lee, I have nothing figured out … as I’ve said before, “I’m not a trader, but I play one on the internet.”
CN, I believe this is to a persons advantage at times. M
Lee – Hello. Thoughts on CL ? I am looking for a higher move
in UCO…
Hey Bud
I think the risk would be $90 ish right now but I like ur style
Short term is up, Medium term is up, Long term is up.
aapl is just abt to make the big move up taking the NAZ at least +30%
Hey M1, your view on aapl is purely from technical perspective or some other reason?
purely technical …
OK sorry Tony i was mixed up
I thouht you projected 1552 before the weekend ????
I wish =)
Tony you wrote “Our weekend targets of the 1552 and 1576 pivots remain.”
Maybe i mss something Ihat,s the first time i see this target. Do you have another nlog wher i can follow all your thought.
Thank Tony
weekend update targets, sorry for the confusion
WEDNESDAY, AFTER MARKET UPDATE, 2013/02/27
A. SHORT TERM INDICATORS/SYSTEMS:
1. eliott PSTT: remains on a SELL signal. a thursday’S, 2013/02/21, close below 1511 spx triggered a SELL signal and is still on a sell, the PSTT is the most heavily weighted indicator for signalling a change in weekly to monthly wave counts and trend changes.
2. qqq indicator: -5 (on a scale of -10 to +10) up 5 points, triggered a sell short signal on last thursday.(need 0 to sell ………and -6 to short. +6 is a buy and remains a buy until 0 is triggered. heavily weighs momentum in unison with smart buyer activity.
……….a -6 remains a short until 0 is triggered).
3. smart money indicator: -5 , up 1 point. remains on sell signal. a -8, once triggered is usually a sell and remains so until a +7 is triggered.
4. feb. monthly 2faced longs 2.41% profit today. system holds for an entire month.
5. feb. monthly 2faced shorts 0.47% profit today. system holds for an entire month. monthly combined longs and shorts net about a 9.12% profit to date this month vs +0.45% to same date for spy.
6. weekly 2faced longs, 0.70% profit today. system holds longs for a full week.
7. weekly 2faced shorts, 0.87% loss today. system holds shorts for a full week.
i use the weekly 2faced stocks as day trading candidates.
$SPY +1.26% today.
B. LONG TERM INDICATORS:
crash indicator at +4 versus last friday’s +2.next update will be on 2013/02/29. a rare -10 signals a 2008 type of crash.
all other long term indicators remain on a buy.
medium term “PSTT” remains on a buy.
C. TRADES/ALLOCATION:
changed. 41% invested, 11% short, 30% long.
see blog for today’s trade details. waiting on minor pullback to possibly re-institute more long positions.
D. STOCK WATCH:
SHORT break out watch:$GUID, $RPRX, $RDEN $ELLI broke down on thursday.
LONG break out watch: $OESX broke out last monday,, $CZR broke out thursday, $RSOL, $NFLX, $ANGI. $ANGI broke out today.
E. MISCELLANEOUS COMMENTS:
a SELL short signal has finally been triggered by the elliott “PSTT” indicator as well as the qqq indicator last week thursday.
see blog for today’s trades. i will soon be trading the weekly 2faced system in my account, a conservative profit goal will be 1% to 2% per week after commissions, that would be about a 67% return compounded over 52 weeks at a minimum, not bad for a market neutral strategy if it continues to work for me.
see the “ABOUT” section of the blog for more detailed descriptions of the use of all the above indicators and different trading portfolios.
follow the comments section of my blog for regular indicator and trade updates, usually prepared on a regular basis usually prior to opening bell.
No more pullbacks for the moment. The market will go up and up as Q3 plays out. “The Boss” will keep pumping trillions into the market.
Then We may need to adjust the count when the Dow cross over 15000.
Only an unexpected big negative event could derail this projection.
I believe the rest of the indexes are waiting for the Dow to make a new high. Then lower. I thought it already started a few days ago but sadly not.
We’re not going lower. Look at the charts. Not until the end of this year or 2014. Gotta have a plan and stick with it.
Who’s “WE” Mario ?
U got a mouse in ur pocket ?
TUESDAY, AFTER MARKET UPDATE, 2013/02/25
A. SHORT TERM INDICATORS/SYSTEMS:
1. eliott PSTT: remains on a SELL signal. a thursday’S, 2013/02/21, close below 1511 spx triggered a SELL signal and is still on a sell, the PSTT is the most heavily weighted indicator for signalling a change in weekly to monthly wave counts and trend changes.
2. qqq indicator: -10 (on a scale of -10 to +10) down 2 points, has now triggered a sell short signal on thursday.(need 0 to sell ………and -6 to short. +6 is a buy and remains a buy until 0 is triggered. heavily weighs momentum in unison with smart buyer activity.
……….a -6 remains a short until 0 is triggered).
3. smart money indicator: -6 , up 3 points. remains on sell signal. a -8, once triggered is usually a sell and remains so until a +7 is triggered.
4. feb. monthly 2faced longs 1.71% profit today. system holds for an entire month.
5. feb. monthly 2faced shorts 3.05% profit today. system holds for an entire month. monthly combined longs and shorts net about a 6.30% profit to date this month vs -0.81% to same date for spy.
6. weekly 2faced longs, 0.01% profit today. system holds longs for a full week. $ENMD with a 25% profit on monday was closed and replaced with $IBM today,possible repurchase on a pullback in next few days.
7. weekly 2faced shorts, 1.66% loss today. system holds shorts for a full week.
i use the weekly 2faced stocks as day trading candidates.
$SPY +0.74% today.
B. LONG TERM INDICATORS:
crash indicator at +4 versus last friday’s +2.next update will be on 2013/02/29. a rare -10 signals a 2008 type of crash.
all other long term indicators remain on a buy.
medium term “PSTT” remains on a buy.
C. TRADES/ALLOCATION:
unchanged. 41% invested, 41% short, 0% long.
see blog for today’s trade details. waiting on minor pullback to possibly re-institute more long positions.
D. STOCK WATCH:
SHORT break out watch:$GUID, $RPRX, $RDEN $ELLI broke down on thursday.
LONG break out watch: $OESX broke out last monday,, $CZR broke out thursday, $RSOL, $NFLX, $ANGI.
E. MISCELLANEOUS COMMENTS:
a SELL short signal has finally been triggered by the elliott “PSTT” indicator as well as the qqq indicator last week thursday. locked in some decent short term profits. i will probably add some non-tna shorts this week.
see blog for today’s trades. i will soon be trading the weekly 2faced system in my account, a conservative profit goal will be 1% to 2% per week after commissions, that would be about a 67% return compounded over 52 weeks at a minimum, not bad for a market neutral strategy if it continues to work for me.
see the “ABOUT” section of the blog for more detailed descriptions of the use of all the above indicators and different trading portfolios.
follow the comments section of my blog for regular indicator and trade updates, usually prepared on a regular basis usually prior to opening bell.
typo, update is for tues. 2/26 not tues. 2/25.
You know everybody has opinions, I just prefer Tony’s work over Pugs.
.786 breakouts into 3rd waves? (from new site wavegenius.co)
http://wavegenius.co/blog/2013/2/27/fc10yc39zev62otrnecwa0668b5x2o
Hey Tony,
USD at the important 82 area, what are your thoughts here?
Me thinks breaking 82 is a MUST for the buck, then 84. If both get pushed through it’s 89/90 in the “dixie”.
However, if we fail here at 82 and turn lower, the neckline of the 1yr+ H&S pattern becomes critical support around 78.50ish, if broken and confirms H&S, donwside target is 73. Gametime for the USD, after a breif rest, daily RSI at 92.
Trend is up for USD Mjt. Just a matter of time before it heads higher.
Are you targeting the 89/90 area or higher/lower?
Sounds like a good target
Have a good evening All. Kids bathing and water everywhere. Have to wring them out and get them to bed. TTY tomorrow. M
Hey Tony,how do i shut off these emails from every post i get,i am getting killed here
block? do not know
Where??
email
Thanks Mokie,think they are off ,dont know how they got turned on
pooch, see if there’s a place on one of those emails where you can unsubscribe, except for site mgr (Tony), or can change the settings. Usually in small print at bottom of a note. M
Pooch, when you are next asked to sign in to WordPress, there are 2 boxes – tick neither – one says “notify me of follow-up comments by e-mail” and the other “notify me of new posts by e-mail”
That should prevent drowning.
thanks fion……
Hate to say this but I think we get fast move up then down tomorrow,maybe 10-15 minutes into the open then down
With this market, ANYTHING is possible. M
Pooch good trip. I am on the long patterns and waiting for that Hang Seng divergence to unfold. Should put pressure on the Dollar and make the Euro rally, just think the dollar strength is some macro worry temporary issue.
Also waiting for dry bulk to get stronger, and tanking of course..
I crown CygnetNoir, King for a Day.
Nobody had as much fun today as he did. Good times, CN
Melinda
I am but a humble court jester, Melinda. Have fun, will travel
CN, the criterion for your Award was solely based on who I thought had the most fun yesterday, and that was YOU! M
Watching 1499 pivot at 1505-06 ,we should gap up to 1521-24,i will short this baby there unless noted tomorrow morning but that is the game plan
Pop up and sell off to 1500/1506 range?
Tony, any chance we test lows of Tuesday before higher to finish intermediate 3, wave 4
I’m not Tony, but I think that if we take out Tuesday’s lows before we see new spoos highs, we’re in trouble.
2013 looks similar to 2011 http://stks.co/hNCY
Agree, and even before that
Dove Mountain or bust. Not only are they golfer s, but marathon men. Kind of like you. Keep up the cause.
Andy if we test the lows of tuesday this uptrend is probably over
Thanks Tony
i3- “Are you a good pilot?” lLooks like a trick question (yes, we love them..)
why r u asking i3?, are we gonna bomb N Korea tomorrow or sth? (right around ur vacation time, of course)?
CB, I was referring to a scene in Top Gun. Unfortunately I can’t find the clip that has Charlie asks Maverick about if he is a good pilot.
i3,OK it looks like I asked a DA question du jour. Anyways just read the whole plot since I haven’t seen that movie (yeah, welcome to my surreal world). I like it though, especially Cruise as the reckless pilot. One thing that always strikes me is how well those Hollywood casting people choose actors. Tom Cruise for instance is a 1962 Tiger, so hello!! reckless bahavior & breaking the rules,anyone? ..sure! Also, reminds me of him & Demi Moore (also a 1962 Tiger) in “A few good men” . Ok, so both of them have absolutely no clue how they’re gonna get Jessup,right? but Tom tries it anyway(risky &reckless, huh?..and how does it end?… and Jack Nicholson is a an Ox, I think, so in real life a Tiger would have no chance against an Ox..or that’s the theory at least…so…we love movies, don’t we…
& issue a 10-digit code like U did in October like 1025201211…..when U see something, OK? Thanks!
Hey,I3, have a gr8 trip, and we would like to see some nice pics of you with those pretty SQ flight attendants if you get a chance to stop by their airport lounge maybe, and we def. expect U to watch the charts all the time for us
Hi CB, I’ll try to upload the travel pics for you right here..
http://www.flickr.com/photos/69752877@N08/
thanks I3. That will be fun. Hope ur gna come up with some good titles 4 em like u like to do. If Lee’s predictions pan out (they will, of course), maybe you’ll need to just say : “This is how I missed the biggest stock market sell-off in history while enjoying some pretty darn spicy food.” ; )
P.s. ur travelling during mercury retrograde -so don’t forget ur passports, guys.
Thanks Tony! What a great day! Melinda
M left some money on the table but my job calls me away at times so need to be careful,sold those calls at 1.65 and they ran to 2.05 though i paid .81….lets rock n roll tomorrow my last trading day and i will be in Mexico for all next week
pooch, I know what you mean about your job calling you away, but I’m happy to have my job right now. I want to be rich and retired… What are the chances.
Mexico, eh? Well, have a great time. As for tomorrow, I’m not trading Thursday either. Have to buy some items for kiddos before I put any more money in markets, and I’m perpetually long anyway.
M
pooch, where in Mexico you going? M
Puerto Vallarta
Stick around we will get you rich n retired
Oh pooch, Puerto Vall. is a beautiful place! Have a great, great time!
Not to worry, I’m sticking with it to try to get the best out of this market while I can. Work it on the upside, then, on the downside. I so want to be retired, but won’t happen any time soon. Always welcome friendly opinions that can help get me there. M
kudos M-
Thanks Tony… It is what it is, you know? M
So, do you think that little downturn at the end of trading today is start of wave 2V of int. iii? Anybody? M
No i think we get rejected after we hit 1521-24 .M ,iam just commenting on 1-2 day trades so nothing longer than that
pooch, I’d love to catch wave3 of this v up. I’m going to have to watch this a bit longer to find a good trading entry. Nothing available until Friday or Monday for me and I’m not shorting counter-trend this time, unless it really, really REALLY looks promising. M
pooch77 says:
February 27, 2013 at 2:45 pm
Looks like we gap up tomorrow 1521-24,not even close to sell signal….damn day job
pooch, I know EXACTLY how you feel! M
Re: the day job. M
I find complaints annoying..there is always a choice..
Yeah, but I don’t like the choices, therefore, NOBODY is more annoyed than I am. M
Ronni,soon hopefully no more day job
M, I thought you were referring to my pilot remark..Sorry!
Poo, excellent to hear!
I3, you need to vacate dood! M LOL!
Are you a good pilot?
I3, you know I like you…. But why are you still here? I keep seeing you talk about vacation… Where? LOL! M
Leaving this Friday..1st 2 weeks of March.. I thought you knew..
I3, oh, I probably knew yesterday, but forgot today. So much going on. Missed you all day, so thought you’d gone already. Okay, to note, “I3 vacates 1st 2 weeks of March”. M
I know you won’t miss me..
Yes, I will, you know I will. Have a good time! M
M, Thanks!
Tony,
PUG has updated both his daily and weekly forecasts today. Worth a hard look. Still looking at 1700+
http://pugsma.wordpress.com/longer-term-sp-500-view/
Regards,
When does Pug update his charts before or after Tony? just curious
No Gary,scratch your theory
thx Selhai,
Can’t figure out his target though:
1552, 1576, 1614?
PUG is really a very good EW analyst. And, I don’t believe he consults
the OEW website, for guidence either. He is not perfect, but darn good,
IMO….
Hi bud. I’ve found a few really good analysts like that. Hadn’t heard of PUG but will watch him too. I try to watch as many as possible. M
Thank you Tony
Off to roll
Cheers
nice job, pbnj!..U got ur carpet back
Strikes and gutters – ups and downs
Thanks CB
great quote – it very well describes this….”enterprise”…and you’ve got the requisite humilty pbjn…that’s crucial…
thanks Tony. This market likes V-shapes a lot (as in victory, doen’t it?
straight up or straight down “I gotcha” kinda market? interrupted by days(sss) of just pure boredom when it wants to..
keeps us on our toes
Thanks Homie
BTW Did u check ur mailbox today ? Wondering if GRPN sent u another coupon ?
Got an email on Feb 22, from Scotty calling for another market top. Good call if you sold on Monday.
not today, they were trading stocks