the stock market’s best and worse presidents

First published in 2008. Thought to update it through January 21, 2013. Only goes to confirm that raw statistics are just raw statistics.

DOW performance for their entire tenture, ranked from best to worse:
Clinton   …   + 226.3%
Roosevelt … + 194.4%
Reagan    … + 135.1%
Eisenhower … + 120.3%
Truman    … + 81.7%
Obama … + 71.7% (first term)
G. Bush   …  + 45.0%
Johnson   …  + 30.9%
Ford        …  + 23.4%
Kennedy   … + 12.2%
Carter    … –  0.9%
Nixon     …    – 16.5%
GW Bush … – 24.9%
Hoover    …   – 82.8%
Next, it might also be interesting to rate each of these fourteen presidents by the median yearly gain, since their terms were quite varied:
Clinton   …   + 28.3%
Obama … +17.9% (first term)
Reagan    … + 16.9%
Roosevelt … + 16.2%
Eisenhower . + 15.4%
G. Bush   …  + 11.3%
Truman    … + 10.5%
Ford        …  +  9.7%
Johnson   …  +  6.0%
Kennedy   … +  4.3%
Carter    …    –  0.2%
Nixon     …    –  3.0%
GW Bush … – 3.1%
Hoover    …   – 20.7%
One last note in regard to this 80+ year period. Starting with Hoover 1n March, 1929 and ending with GW Bush in January 2009, the Democrats and Republicans split that entire period right down the middle: 40 years for each party.

About tony caldaro

Investor
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10 Responses to the stock market’s best and worse presidents

  1. torehund says:

    Apple and gold looks a little out of fashion, If its the beginning of a 5 wave down in a 5-3-5 Apple could have a major wave 2 in the works, top beeing wave 1. Still heaps of time left before folks hate it.

  2. mokiepon says:

    Very interesting! Thanks Tony.

    M

  3. ko68 says:

    Tony; any chance that its minute V unfolding right know?

    Thanks

  4. short term elliott PSTT still on buy signal.
    smart money still at -9., still on cash signal.
    qqq system has ticked up to +5 to from +4, still on buy signal.
    long term crash signal at +8, up from6, no crash in sight.
    2 faced longs +.4.98% profit, 2 faced shorts 1.51% loss today, spy + 0.03%.
    most of today’s 2 faced long profits were happily attributable to the generous $NFLX, + 42% today.

    got filled on tza longs at 11.42.

  5. torehund says:

    Was the big Bear just a teddy-bear ?

    • torehund says:

      Obama entered into the sweet spot, wars over and done, end of transition from fluffy 2000 exuberance. In addition, the ideas that actually did endure 13 years of purgatory are definetly sound today, and can be harvested in the decade to come.
      Nikkei bottomed out last year, and Japan will prosper in the years to come. Obama may become the new (teddy bear) Rooseveld. Minus the bear which is nearly already dead !

  6. Pingback: the stock market's best and worse presidents | the ELLIOTT WAVE … : Learn Stock Market

  7. tommyboys says:

    I’ve looked at this before and while interesting I am of the belief that any President’s fate is pre-determined by the cycle he comes in on. (i.e. Dubya didn’t have a prayer no matter what while Clinton wouldn’t have even had to show up and the markets would have rallied strong)…

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