cycle wave 1932 -1937 and cycle wave 2002 – 2007?

There is a striking ongoing correlation between the progression of the current bull market in the COMPX and the bull market in the INDU from 1932 - 1937. Both, mind you, initiated from super cycle lows: the INDU crash 1929 - 1932 and the COMPX crash 2000 - 2002.

Wave 1: INDU lasted 2 months, COMPX took 1 month.
Wave 2: INDU lasted 5 months, COMPX took 4 months.
Wave 2: INDU corrected a steep 77%, COMPX was also a steep 67%
Waves 3 and 4: INDU took 17 months, COMPX also took 17 months.
Wave 4: INDU corrected a moderate 39%, COMPX was also moderate 46%
INDU spent 9 months in a trading range before breaking out, COMPX thus far 12 months.

 
Wave 5: INDU advanced 158% of Waves 1 - 3 (108 vs 68 pts), COMPX Waves 1 -3 is (1040 pts).

 
The entire cycle 1 bull market: INDU 5 years, COMPX thus far 3 years.

If the correlation continues, which I believe it will, since both new bull markets started from super cycle lows, and launched the first cycle wave of the new super cycle. We can put a target on the COMPX of 3300 by 2007.

Here's my calculations:
1. Cycle 1 INDU 1932 - 1937, COMPX 2002 - 2007
2. Waves 1 - 3: INDU 68 points (41 to 109), COMPX 1040 points (1114 to 2154).
3. Wave 5: INDU advanced 158% of Waves 1 - 3 (108 points), from a Wave 4 low of 86, topping out at 194 in 1937.
4. Wave 5: COMPX conservatively 150% of Waves 1 - 3 (1040 points) from the Wave 4 low of 1752, should place the top at 3312 by 2007. A COMPX of 3300 by 2007!

One caveat, the INDU did not reach the levels of 1929 again until 1954 (25 years). Keeping the same comparison would mean the COMPX will not reach the heights of 2000 until 2027. History allows one to anticipate the future, when the correct correlations are in affect.

About tony caldaro

Investor
This entry was posted in Updates. Bookmark the permalink.

19 Responses to cycle wave 1932 -1937 and cycle wave 2002 – 2007?

  1. mbt says:

    你好!博客狠棒your blog is so good!<a href="http://www.my-cheapshoes.com/nike-air-max-2010-c-78.html">nike air max 2010</a><a href="http://www.my-cheapshoes.com/">MBT Sandals</a><a href="http://www.my-cheapshoes.com/">MBT Shoes</a>

  2. ping says:

    http://www.globallaptopbatteries.co.uk/laptop-ac-adapter/compaq/compaq-19V-3.16A-60w-5.5mm-2.5mm.php Compaq ZT1000 1200 19V 3.16A 60W 5.5MM*2.5MM Adapter http://www.globallaptopbatteries.co.uk/laptop-ac-adapter/dell/dell-19.5V-3.34A-65w-7.4mm-5.0mm-with-pin-pa-12.php Dell 6400 D620 19.5V 3.34A 65W 7.4MM*5.0MM Adapter http://www.globallaptopbatteries.co.uk/laptop-ac-adapter/dell/dell-19.5V-4.62A-90w-7.4mm-5.0mm-with-pin-pa-10.php Dell 19.5V 4.62A 90W 7.4MM*5.0MM Adapter http://www.globallaptopbatteries.co.uk/laptop-ac-adapter/dell/dell-19V-3.16A-60w-5.5mm-2.5mm.php Dell B130 1300 19V 3.16A 60W 5.5MM*2.5MM Adapter http://www.globallaptopbatteries.co.uk/laptop-ac-adapter/dell/dell-20V-3.5A-70w-horseshoe-style-special-for-dell-pa-6.php Dell 20V 3.5A 70W HORSE SHOE Adapter http://www.globallaptopbatteries.co.uk/acer/extensa-5210.htm Acer extensa 5210 battery http://www.globallaptopbatteries.co.uk/acer/extensa-5220.htm Acer extensa 5220 battery http://www.globallaptopbatteries.co.uk/acer/travelmate-5710.htm Acer travelmate 5710 battery http://www.globallaptopbatteries.co.uk/acer/travelmate-5720g.htm Acer travelmate 5720g battery http://www.globallaptopbatteries.co.uk/dell/inspiron-b120.htm Dell inspiron b120 battery http://www.globallaptopbatteries.co.uk/dell/inspiron-b130.htm Dell inspiron b130 battery http://www.globallaptopbatteries.co.uk/dell/latitude-d410.htm Dell latitude d410 battery http://www.globallaptopbatteries.co.uk/dell/latitude-d420.htm Dell latitude d420 battery http://www.globallaptopbatteries.co.uk/dell/vostro-1310.htm Dell vostro 1310 battery http://www.globallaptopbatteries.co.uk/dell/vostro-1320.htm Dell vostro 1320 battery http://www.globallaptopbatteries.co.uk/dell/vostro-1510.htm Dell vostro 1510 battery http://www.globallaptopbatteries.co.uk/dell/vostro-1520.htm Dell vostro 1520 battery http://www.globallaptopbatteries.co.uk/sony/vgp-bpl9.htm sony vgp-bpl9 battery http://www.globallaptopbatteries.co.uk/sony/vgp-bps10.htm sony vgp-bps10 battery http://www.globallaptopbatteries.co.uk/sony/vgp-bps8.htm sony vgp-bps8 battery http://www.globallaptopbatteries.co.uk/sony/vgp-bps8a.htm sony vgp-bps8a battery http://www.globallaptopbatteries.co.uk/sony/vgp-bps9.htm sony vgp-bps9 battery http://www.globallaptopbatteries.co.uk/dell/inspiron-1100-series.htm Dell inspiron 1100 series Batteryhttp://www.globallaptopbatteries.co.uk/dell/inspiron-1150.htm Dell inspiron 1150 Batteryhttp://www.globallaptopbatteries.co.uk/dell/inspiron-1200.htm Dell inspiron 1200 Batteryhttp://www.globallaptopbatteries.co.uk/dell/inspiron-1526.htm Dell inspiron 1526 Batteryhttp://www.globallaptopbatteries.co.uk/dell/inspiron-9300.htm Dell inspiron 9300 Batteryhttp://www.globallaptopbatteries.co.uk/dell/inspiron-9400.htm Dell inspiron 9400 Batteryhttp://www.globallaptopbatteries.co.uk/toshiba/pa3356u-1bas.htm Toshiba pa3356u-1bas Batteryhttp://www.globallaptopbatteries.co.uk/toshiba/pa3356u-1brs.htm Toshiba pa3356u-1brs Batteryhttp://www.globallaptopbatteries.co.uk/dell/latitude-d810.htm Dell latitude d810 Batteryhttp://www.globallaptopbatteries.co.uk/dell/original-inspiron-1526.htm Dell original inspiron 1526 Batteryhttp://www.globallaptopbatteries.co.uk/dell/pc764.htm Dell pc764 Batteryhttp://www.globallaptopbatteries.co.uk/dell/xps-m1730.htm Dell xps m1730 Batteryhttp://www.globallaptopbatteries.co.uk/hp/dv1000.htm Hp dv1000 Batteryhttp://www.globallaptopbatteries.co.uk/hp/nc6000.htm Hp nc6000 Batteryhttp://www.globallaptopbatteries.co.uk/hp/nc8000.htm Hp nc8000 Batteryhttp://www.globallaptopbatteries.co.uk/hp/N6400.htm Hp N6400 Batteryhttp://www.globallaptopbatteries.co.uk/hp/pavilion-dv9000.htm Hp pavilion dv9000 Batteryhttp://www.globallaptopbatteries.co.uk/hp/pavilion-dv9500.htm Hp pavilion dv9500 Batteryhttp://www.globallaptopbatteries.co.uk/hp/pavilion-dv9600.htm Hp pavilion dv9600 Batteryhttp://www.globallaptopbatteries.co.uk/hp/pavilion-dv9700.htm Hp pavilion dv9700 Battery

  3. Unknown says:

    Hi,Do you have used LCDs, second hand LCDs, used flat screens and used LCD monitors? Please go here:www.sstar-hk.com(Southern Stars).We are constantly buying re-usable LCD panels and working for LCD recycling.The re-usable panels go through strictly designed process of categorizing, checking, testing, repairing and refurbishing before they are re-used to make remanufactured LCD displays and TV sets.Due to our recent breakthrough in testing and repairing technology of LCD, we can improve the value for your LCD panels.
    website:www.sstar-hk.com[beacbhbfeiijgh]

  4. Unknown says:

    Hi,Do you have used lcd screens, lcd monitor used, surplus lcds and scrap LCDs? Please go here:www.sstar-hk.com(Southern Stars).We are constantly buying re-usable LCD panels.The re-usable panels go through strictly designed process of categorizing, checking, testing, repairing and refurbishing before they are re-used to make remanufactured LCD displays and TV sets.Due to our recent breakthrough in testing and repairing technology of LCD, we can improve the value for your LCD panels.
    website:www.sstar-hk.com[beedfghdfecbbi]

Comments are closed.